Working Papers
[1] "Globalization, Inflation Dynamics, and the Slope of the Phillips Curve" (with Colin Hottman) [Feb 2024]
[2] "Trade Costs and Inflation Dynamics" (with Pablo Cuba-Borda, Albert Queralto, and Mikael Scaramucci) [Feb 2024]
[3] "Escaping the Losses from Trade: The Impact of Heterogeneity and Skill Acquisition” (with Axelle Ferriere and Gaston Navarro) [November 2023]
[4] "Globalization and Structural Change in the United States: A Quantitative Assessment" [Preliminary, March 2018]
- Previously circulated under the title "Structural Change in an Open Economy: A Quantitative Exploration"
[5] “The Role of Trade Costs in the Surge of Trade Imbalances” [November 2016, Job Market Paper version]
Reject and Resubmit at the American Economic Review
Work in Progress
[6] “Gender, Human Capital Investment, and International Trade” (with Sarah Conlisk, Maddie Penn, and Gaston Navarro)
[7] “Trade, Inflation, and Monetary Policy: A Unified Framework” (with Pablo Cuba-Borda and Albert Queralto)
[8] “Globalization and Welfare” (with Damien Capelle and Bruno Pellegrino)
[9] “Globalization, Investment and the Welfare Gains from Trade” (with Sharon Traiberman and Eva Van Leemput)
[10] “Structural Transformation across Countries: Similar Paths, Different Experiences”
Publications
1. "Globalization, Trade Imbalances and Labor Market Adjustment" (with Rafael Dix-Carneiro, Joao P. Pessoa, and Sharon Traiberman)
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Volume 138, Issue 2, May 2023, Pages 1109–1171.
- Latest working paper version
2. “Macroprudential Policy in the Presence of External Risks” (with Gabriel Tenorio)
Journal of International Economics, September 2020, 126, INEC 103365.
- Latest working paper version [online appendix] [codes]
- Previously circulated under the title "Managing Capital Flows in the Presence of External Risks" [IFDP 1213]
3. "Emerging Markets and the New Geography of Trade: The Effects of Rising Trade Barriers" (with Sharon Traiberman and Eva Van Leemput)
IMF Economic Review, September 2020, 68, 456–508.
- IFDP 1278 and latest working paper version
- RHTVL Sectoral Trade Flows, Tariffs and Production Data [Description] [Data]
4. "Regime-Switching in Emerging Market Business Cycles: Interest Rate Volatility and Sudden Stops" (with Gabriel Tenorio),
Journal of International Money and Finance, May 2019, 93, 81-100.
- Latest working paper version
- IFDP 1209 titled "Interest Rate Volatility and Sudden Stops: An Empirical Investigation"
Policy Publications
5. "International Trade and Gender Gaps in College Enrollment" (with Sarah Conlisk, Gaston Navarro, and Maddie Penn) FEDS Notes. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, May 20, 2022.
6. "The Effect of U.S.-China Tariff Hikes: Differences in Demand Composition Matter" (with Charlotte Singer and Eva Van Leemput) FEDS Notes. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, March 4, 2021.
Older Publications
7. "Monotone Mechanisms When Types Are Multidimensional: The Linear Case” (in Spanish)
La Gaceta de Economía, 33, 2014.
8. "Pareto Optimal Partitions for a Particular Welfare Function" (with Carlos Bosch),
International Journal of Mathematical Analysis, Vol. 5, 2011, no. 48, 2395 – 2402.
9. "The Financial Crisis: Origins and Effects" (in Spanish)
La Gaceta de Economía, 26, 2009.
Discussions
- "The Margins of Trade" by Eaton and Fieler, Banxico-Dallas Fed-UofH Conference in International Economics, October 2021.
- "Trade, Human Capital, and Income Risk" by Deng, Krishna, Senses and Stegmaier, WAITS, DC, May 2022.
- "Rising Current Account Dispersion: Financial or Trade Integration?" by Alessandria, Bai and Woo, NBER IFM Fall Meeting, October 2021.
- "Financial Globalization, 1970-2015: Winners and Losers" by Capelle and Pellegrino, IMF Annual Macro-Financial Research Conference, September 2021.
- "Sufficient Statistics for Dynamic Spatial Models" by Kleinman, Liu and Redding, NBER ITI Meeting Summer Institute, July 2021.
- "Productivity and Trade Dynamics in Sussen Stops" by Benguria, Matusmoto and Saffie, CBC-IDB-JIE Conference, May 2021.
- "On the Distributional Effects of International Tariffs" by Carroll and Hur. International Trade Dynamics Workshop and VITM, June 2020.
- "Multinationals, Markets and Mark-Ups" by Yeaple. EIIT Conference, CU Boulder, 2019.
- "A Market-Based Term Structure of Expected Inflation" by Ramos-Francia, García-Verdú and Sánchez-Martínez. ITAM Alumni Conference, 2019.
- "Trade, Jobs, and Worker Welfare" by Artuç, Bastos and Lee. WAITS, DC, 2019.
- "Trade Policy is Real News: A Quantitative Analysis of Current and Future Changes in U.S. Trade Barriers" by Alessandria and Mix NBER IFM Fall Meeting, 2018.
- "Monetary Policy under Uncertain Economic State and Learning: A Bayesian DSGE Approach" by Ma, Xiahoan. EconCon Conference UPenn, 2015.